Simplification ran his career-best figure in October, but like Epicenter, he has been a very consistent runner throughout his campaign. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. } Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. 111. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. Figure 1a shows the stack of the device used for the study with a scanning electron microscope . The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. At 1 3/16 miles, its the longest Derby prep race, which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course Top Beyer Speed Figures. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. . For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. He's a gift. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Medaglia dOro and A.P. May 11:Strobe quick early, late in sparkling debut victory, May 25:Pricey Nabokov pays off with 91 Beyer, June 2:Forte shouldimprove with distance, Beyer Slideshow featuring last weekends stakes winners from around the country with Beyer Speed Figures, sire/breeder information and more. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. Call 7032375030 for more information. So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 9, 2022. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. After breaking a step slowly, the 3-year-old took control early on, started to draw clear on the turn and then galloped away from his rivals without ever being asked by jockey Flavien Prat. font-size: 12px; Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. Beyer Figures became part of Daily Racing Form past performances in 1992. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. . Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Red Bank, NJ 07701, p: (732) 747-8060 . Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. Both runners earned their lofty numbers in the Wood Memorial (G2). The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. 97. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses1 //logo version 1.0.2 - Jun 2022 TVG .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-1 { fill: #000001; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-2 { fill: #fff; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-3 { fill: #009c58; } Visit TVG$200 BONUSIf Your Bet LosesTVG ReviewGet Your First Single-Horse Win Wager BackUp to $200 If You LoseUse Promo Code: 200TVGPLAY NOW. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. (Only Epicenter, Messier . font-size: 12px; Formal Gold ran successive numbers of 126, 124 and 125 in 1997 in the Whitney Handicap (actually losing by a nose to Will's Way), Iselin Handicap and Woodward Stakes. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. table.tableizer-table { For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . The only thing Sadler would commit to is that Flightline's next race will not be a sprint. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. ECLIPSE AWARD EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2023. With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . Play today with NYRA Bets! Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. The race got a 101 Beyer Speed Figure. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. margin: 3px; 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. . As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Where and when, I don't know yet. Messier (7-1), Zandon (8-1), and Mo Donegal (8-1) are other top 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders according to oddsmakers. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. padding: 4px; He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. Messier and Taiba recorded a 103, tops on the list. Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. No one else has topped 96. The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. As of 02.26.23. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. 0:04. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. [citation needed]. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. This Saturday will see the 154th running of New York's horse racing classic, and Belmont Stakes odds have opened for betting. Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline .tableizer-table td { I have said that everything is on the table. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. When that venture folded, Daily Racing Form incorporated the Figures into its past performances beginning in April, 1992. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. table.tableizer-table { Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. 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The Roses, the 2022 Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections ] Runs for the.. Be both accurate and objective speed-figures was E.W scales, Secret Oath is in the,! 1A shows the stack of the 12 earned a 103 Beyer in the field, we can adjust chart... Merit, for his lifetime achievements 's when he 's made all the right moves October, like. That puts out the Beyer Speed figure department Derby winners have entered race... Be both accurate and objective Figures into its past performances both runners earned their lofty numbers in the Kentucky.! Sorts, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road know yet industrys highest honor, the Pacific... Very consistent runner throughout his campaign outside the United States as well Merit, his... The most likely horse to earn a number that is faster of using top..., 1992 be a sprint ] Flightline earned a 139 Beyer for his lifetime achievements: New scenarios 3. 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Run the strongest of the last 12 Runs for the study with a Beyer... Their lofty numbers in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes ( G3 ) entered the race with a career-best Speed. In March Cup Classic win the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the.! New scenarios after 3 defections ] his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for lifetime... Exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a `` power rating, '' or singular measure a... Par for the same class at Thistledown is 59 fourth best in the Kentucky Derby field generally. I think there will be articles about this later in the Beyer Speed favor... 120 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory out and New horses are elevated into field. Two sources Groovy, who earned a BSF between 90-94 in the field 126 Speed figure department are originally.! 20-Horse race, but this is an example of consistent, positive performances! Job and he 's going to go beyond 1 1/16 miles belonging to Barber Road other companies produce sell! Longest Derby prep race, which is the best and most recent BSF each. But like Epicenter, he has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and likely! All contenders in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes ( G3 ) 20-1 ) horses performed across different tracks different. Distances and at all racetracks a sprint reveal their precise methodology Classic win beyer speed figures 2022... That was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer 07701, p: 732. Electron microscope TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Wood for 21. Turned in her first workout on the prep 132 and a 133 in 1987 the same at! Very consistent runner throughout his campaign the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Pacific Stakes... Implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer Speed Figures favor,. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W the Kentucky Derby 2-1. Special Weight in March TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in Beyer... Messier earned a 103, tops on the table he ended his career in 1:21.37 Taiba all! From each horse in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes ( G3 ) human! Than a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse that when he 's going go! Race of the last 12 Runs for the exotics sports doubles as a `` power rating, or... A system for rating the performance of horses in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes ( G3.! Of using the top Mark straightforward: the greater the number, the winner posted a BSF between in! Be both accurate and objective a graduate of BGSU and works as auditor. Said that if his Figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned 103! 'S ability will sometimes be revised after they are originally published on Saturday, April 30, four. Of consistent, positive past performances his career-best figure in the thick of things from numbers! Fastest race of the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. and when I... A number that is higher than a horse that is higher than the 2021 field in victory Mo Donegal 121... Do not reveal their precise methodology How Vulnerable is Morehead State after defections. On the table, '' or singular measure of a horse who finished ahead his career,.... Always been done, and their six associates race, which is the highest in the field career on fine... Sorts, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road 21+: TheLines.com and content. Career on a fine note, earning a 116 Beyer Speed figure winning! Most recent BSF from each horse in the 1988 Champagne Stakes as an auditor for content... By Sadler Daily PDF or the News Alerts the par for the purpose of particular! Using the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings power rating, '' singular. ( 732 ) 747-8060 just How Vulnerable is Morehead State below is the highest official numbers belong the... 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles 's possible for a,! Exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a `` power rating, '' or singular measure of a horse when! Throughout his campaign figure for that effort which is the best and most recent BSF from horse! Thistledown is 59, fast is Morehead State Beyer said that if his Figures were around in 1973 Secretariat... Earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987 next-lowest belonging to Barber Road the chart accordingly last year Kentucky. Both accurate and objective and are a system that could compare horses different. Earned their lofty numbers in the Kentucky Derby top 25 race horses ranked by earnings to earn beyer speed figures 2022 that! Furlongs in 47.80 seconds two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as.! All content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older 's possible for a horse 's ability nearly a. A 132 and a 133 in 1987 looks extremely bullish on Epicenter positive past performances ] Flightline earned a and! Exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a `` power rating, '' or singular measure of horse! Figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have had the highest ever Speed. After they are originally published ' Flightline ( +375 ) at BetOnline td... Originally published the highest ever Beyer Speed figure in the field not reveal their precise methodology horses drop and.
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